Before the season was completely derailed by COVID-19, the Dodgers were already projected to be the best in baseball. At over 102 wins projected, no team came close in the PECOTA projections.
Baseball Prospectus released the latest PECOTA projections as we are on the brink of a 60-game season. As expected, the Dodgers are once again projected to outshine every other team in baseball. At 38.5 simulated wins, only the Yankees come close with an estimated 36.5 wins.
In terms of offensive production, the Dodgers are also projected to be the second-highest scoring team in all of baseball. The Astros are predicted to be the top-scoring team with just a few more projected runs than Los Angeles. They are also projected to have the least runs scored against them in baseball as well.
For the Dodgers, adding Mookie Betts and David Price into the fold drastically altered expectations for the season, though Price will not be playing in 2020. Despite losing Hyun-jin Ryu, Kenta Maeda, and Rich Hill, the Dodgers still managed to become an even better team. Their chances of making the playoffs during the shortened season are already at over 97 percent even before a game has been played.
The rest of the National League West doesn’t shape out too well according to the projections. In fact, there is not another team predicted to finish with a winning record in the division. The Diamondbacks were 29.6 wins in the rankings, good for second place. The Padres, Rockies, and Giants follow them in that order in the west behind the first-place Dodgers.