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Dodgers vs Padres NLDS Game 1: Latest Betting Odds, Predictions and Picks for October 11

Nearly a month after the Dodgers clinched the National League West, tonight they will finally be playing a game that matters. After taking five days to rest, recharge, and reset, Los Angeles will take on the Padres in the NL Division Series beginning this evening at Dodger Stadium.

Julio Urias will take the mound for the Dodgers, having earned the role of number-one starter by virtue of an outstanding regular season that saw him go 17-7 with an NL-best 2.16 ERA. He was even better in the second half, going 9-1 with a 1.26 ERA since the All-Star break.

Urias faced the Padres four times this season, going 3-0 with 1.50 ERA in 24 innings pitched. Three of the four runs he allowed to San Diego came on solo home runs, something to keep an eye on tonight.

The Padres counter with Mike Clevinger, having used their top three starting pitchers to get through the Mets in the Wild Card Series. The once-formidable Clevinger had a pretty lousy season for San Diego, posting a 4.33 ERA in 114.1 innings. His season was kind of the opposite of Urias’s, as he fell off severely in the second half, posting a 4.90 ERA after the All-Star break.

Clevinger faced the Dodgers three times this season, going 0-2 with a 9.69 ERA in 13 innings. All three of those starts came in August and September.

Team Games (W/L)

  • Dodgers against the spread (ATS) this season: 97-65 (per
  • Padres ATS: 71-89-1

Betting Odds

According to FanDuel, the Dodgers are surprisingly heavy favorites in this game, as of 9:30 am PT. Los Angeles is listed at (-240) to win outright, with the padres at (+198). The Dodgers are listed at (-110) to cover the 1.5-run spread, with San Diego also at (-110) to cover. The over-under is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at (-104) and the under at (-118).

Dodgers Player Props

Mookie Betts is the favorite to homer for the Dodgers at (+360), with Freddie Freeman (+370), Will Smith (+420), Trea Turner (+420), and Max Muncy (+450) not far behind. Gavin Lux is a decent longshot bet to homer at (+750).

First pitch is set for 6:37 pm PT. The game will be broadcast on FS1.

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Jeff Snider

Jeff was born into a Dodgers family in Southern California and is now raising a Dodgers family of his own in Utah. During his previous career as an executive at a technology company, he began writing about baseball in his spare time. After leaving corporate America in 2014, he started doing it professionally. Jeff wrote and edited for Baseball Essential for years before joining Dodgers Nation. He's also the co-host of the Locked On Dodgers podcast, a daily podcast that brings the smart fan's perspective on our Boys in Blue. Jeff has a degree in English from Brigham Young University. Favorite Player: Clayton Kershaw Favorite Moment: Kirk Gibson's homer will always have a place, but Kershaw's homer on Opening Day 2013 might be the winner.

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