The Los Angeles Dodgers have the best odds to win the 2026 World Series, per FanGraphs, but not everyone is convinced they can make history.
“Over at FanGraphs, the Dodgers have 27% odds to win the World Series, which is a wildly high number, higher than the next three teams combined,” MLB analyst Mike Petriello said. “On the other hand, that’s also 73% odds of not winning the World Series.”
The teams closest to the Dodgers interns of odds to win the World Series are the Seattle Mariners, New York Mets and Atlanta Braves. Each pot those teams has a chance smaller than 10% to win the Fall Classic, per FanGraphs‘ projections.
Petriello continued to give the Dodgers credit, but doesn’t believe the team has what it takes to get the job done come October.
“Anyway, I’m taking them here because I’d be a fool not to, but I stand by what I said in my look at the 2026 Tiers of Baseball: This year’s Dodgers will have the wildly good record-challenging regular season everyone has long expected … and then manage to pull a 2001 Mariners by losing to an inferior team in a best-of-five or best-of-seven set in the playoffs,” he said.
What have the Dodgers’ Odds Looked Like in Past Years?
In both of the last two years, the Dodgers have had lower odds to win the World Series than in 2026. Preseason projections from FanGraphs gave them a 15.7% chance to win the World Series in 2024 — second behind the Atlanta Braves — and a 23.2% in 2025, which ranked the highest of any team.
The Dodgers have managed to win the World Series in back-to-back years with significantly lower odds, and could very well go on another dominant run to secure the franchise’s first three-peat — especially with the signings they’ve made.
All-Stars Kyle Tucker and Edwin Diaz joined LA in the offseason, and are sure to play a huge role in the coming season. If they both kick off the season in good form and carry their momentum throughout the season, another parade could hit downtown by the end of the year.
Do you think the Dodgers’ odds to win the World Series in 2026 are too low?
