Editorials

Dodgers: PECOTA Lists LA at The Top of The NL West in 2023

As the 2023 season approaches, fans and analysts alike are eagerly anticipating the start of what promises to be an exciting year of baseball. One of the most talked-about predictions for the upcoming season is the PECOTA standings projection, which has the Los Angeles Dodgers winning their division. Somewhat surprisingly.

The Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm (PECOTA) is a system that uses a variety of factors like players’ past performance and age, to project how they will perform in the upcoming season. The system also takes into account team makeup and schedule, giving a complete picture of how a team is likely to perform.

According to the PECOTA projections for the 2023 season, the Dodgers are looking to win 97.4 games,  which would be the best in the National League West division. This is what most Dodger fans are expecting, given the team’s recent success and strong roster.

Via Baseball Prospectus

The Dodgers have been a dominant force in the NL West in recent seasons, winning the division title nine times in the last 10 years. Within that span, the team also proved its success by winning a World Series championship in 2020. With a strong core of players like Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Clayton Kershaw, and young newcomers, the Dodgers have the talent to make another deep playoff run.

Of course, the PECOTA projections are just that – projections. There are many variables that could impact how the season plays out, including injuries, unexpected breakouts from young players, and other unforeseen circumstances. Nonetheless, the PECOTA system is still highly respected in the baseball community.

Ultimately, the 2023 season will be decided on the field, not on paper. The Dodgers will need to stay healthy and play to their potential if they want to live up to the PECOTA projections and win their division. The Dodgers are certainly a team to watch in the upcoming season.

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